This study presents 26 possible scenarios based on an implications assessment of current trends, which may have an impact on all types of academic and research libraries over the next 15 years. The scenarios are organized in a “scenario space” visualization tool, reflecting the expert judgment of ACRL members as to their expectations and perceptions about the probability, impact, speed of change and threat/opportunity potential of each scenario. Finally, the study draws out implications of the scenario space assessment for academic libraries. We expect to challenge your mental models. By reflecting on alternate futures, the researchers state that one may see one’s strategic assumptions and values in a new light.
Staley, D. J., & Malenfant, K. J. (2010). Futures thinking for academic libraries: Higher education in 2025. Chicago, IL: Association of College & Research Libraries.