This study presents 26 possible scenarios based on an
implications assessment of current trends, which may have an impact on all
types of academic and research libraries over the next 15 years. The scenarios
are organized in a “scenario space” visualization tool, reflecting the expert
judgment of ACRL members as to their expectations and perceptions about the
probability, impact, speed of change and threat/opportunity potential of each
scenario. Finally, the study draws out implications of the scenario space
assessment for academic libraries. We expect to challenge your mental models.
By reflecting on alternate futures, the researchers state that one may see
one’s strategic assumptions and values in a new light.
Staley, D. J., & Malenfant, K. J. (2010). Futures
thinking for academic libraries: Higher education in 2025. Chicago, IL:
Association of College & Research Libraries.
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